Why Microsoft Stock Dropped Today

[OZER]

What happened
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares closed 3.3% lower on Tuesday after the U.S. Department of Labor reported that producer price inflation hit a historic high in November, up 9.6% from a year ago. This news came on top of a reported 6.8% jump in consumer prices that came out yesterday -- the fastest rate of price growth in 40 years.

So what
Reporting on Microsoft's price decline, Bloomberg drew a direct line from the inflation data to the weakness in Microsoft's stock price. But why exactly is inflation bad news for Microsoft (and other tech stocks as well)? 

Think about it this way: Right now, analysts who track Microsoft stock are forecasting that the company will grow its earnings by about 15% annually over the next five years. But if inflation eats up nearly 10% of that 15%, then Microsoft's real earnings won't actually be growing by 15% but only by 5%. 

That's assuming inflation continues rising at the rate it's currently rising of course -- which isn't certain. By the same token, though, it's also not certain that inflation won't rise faster than 10%.

Now what
Granted, the Federal Reserve will probably work to get inflation rates under control, but even there, the news isn't all great because the Fed's primary tool for containing inflation is raising interest rates. 

The Fed is meeting today and tomorrow, by the way, to set policy on inflation (and interest rates). If they decide to raise rates, then that's likely to slow the economy and potentially also slow the rate at which Microsoft's profits are expected to grow -- which would result in no net benefit to Microsoft's real earnings growth.   

This, in a nutshell, is why Microsoft closed the day down and why $82.5 billion worth of Microsoft's market capitalization just went up in smoke.

[Krivokid11]

2:51, that's not 90 percent...

[flounder]

Stop printing money like crazy

[neilwad]

Get Trump back

[moon_rocks]

You voted into office a 78 year old with dementia and you are surprised America he is incompetent?

[old_peculiar]

Current Adminstration: Printing (e.g. borrowing) more money will lower inflation... first step of any solution is to admit you have a problem.  reality is they don't want to stop inflation, that's their plan.

[engdahl]

am I right that companies like Roku and Teladoc, which are in ARKK  trade at 10x sales or even more despite the sell-off ? Is this the mother of all bubbles ?

[percussionist]

Actually, this inflation has two main reasons: First is growth in oil and gas prices, second is growth in the total money supply. 

[Bogeyman]

Well said

[energumen]

only way to stop it is to turn the printers off stop printing money its been proven no inflation when they turn printers on it starts back up now its to late 850 trillion been printed that all us bills in the world on top of uk printing money china printing money to much been printed 2 ways stop the printing let inflaion run its course crash or raise rates housing will crash forclosers sky rocket then crash ether way only way for evrrything to lvl back out is a crash and we will defult on the debt

[meme5lol200]

#DBA

[AlsoJustice]

Protect Mr. Brooks at all costs

[demorocz]

Why didn't they mention the Pokemon Card bubble?

[Michael_Lee]

Biden forcing the media to advertise a certain, and untruthful, message is exactly a fascism dictatorship. But you all voted for tyrants, thus you get tyranny.

[red_xephos12]

The economy is in transition from a 20th century to a 21st century economy. They are wanting to use 19th century tools to try and fix it